Chance of Big Pal Rappy spawning

[Doozal]

^^ anyone know the average chance of finding a Big Pal Rappy? I've found 1 today out of all the years i have been a hardcore pso gammer.

[jarl]

at a guess 1/60ish. they're only see'able in ultimate, though.

oh, big pal. well, that'd be 1/60ish X 1/512=1/307200 give or take 2000.

[Hrith]

1/20, not 1/60.

So 1/20 x 1/512 = 10240.

[Doozal]

oh so out of 10240 el rappies 1 of which would be a probable big pal rappy,
and/or 1 out of 20 pal rappies would be a probable big pal rappy(or is it 1/20 of it being a big race rappy)? Either way it does not change the math on it just whether it would be a big el or big pal. I see even tho its drops arent different ill get a pic with an uber digi camera and post it if i find another one.

[Hrith]

Pal Rappy is the only big Rappy I have never seen -_-;

I have seen big Love Rappy, Egg Rappy, Halo Rappy, Saint Rappy and Del Rappy, but not the most common of them, the Pal Rappy (common is subjective here, since I don't play Forest much, it's not such a surprise).

[pink]

I surprised you didn't come across at least 1 when hunting Milla. 3 out of 5 of the Pal Rappies I've ever seen were fat ones.

[Hrith]

There aren't rappies at all in HS F1 (Milla hunt).

[Mirinee]

oh so out of 10240 el rappies 1 of which would be a probable big pal rappy,
and/or 1 out of 20 pal rappies would be a probable big pal rappy(or is it 1/20 of it being a big race rappy)? Either way it does not change the math on it just whether it would be a big el or big pal.

It is 1/20 chance of being a big race Rappy, hence

1/20 x 1/512 = 1/10240

is correct.

I surprised you didn't come across at least 1 when hunting Milla. 3 out of 5 of the Pal Rappies I've ever seen were fat ones.

A PSO player is expected to see 1 Large Pal Rappy in every 20 Pal Rappies they encounter. Now, to calculate the chance of encountering 3 Large Pal Rappies out of 5 Pal Rappies using mathematics:

Let the number of Large Pal Rappies be the random variable X, which follows a Binomial Distribution with n = 5 (pink saw 5 Pal Rappies) and p = 1/20 = 0.05 (chance of it being large).

We are interested in P(X=3) (pink saw 3 large ones)

P(X=3) = 5C3 * 0.05^3 * 0.95^2 = 1.12E-3 = around 1/886

So, if 886 people saw 5 Pal Rappies, only one can be expected to see 3 that are large, and that person was pink for those 886 people. You're the one who should be surprised .

[pink]

All that mathematics gives this kitty a head-ache.

[Cye Zero]

There are Big Pal rappies. Well I guess you know where I'm going
HEY TAXI!!!
::taxi pulls up and cye gets in::
To the ultimate Forest and Step on it