Dear Omar, The probability of getting an S rank card

[mastersword]

As told by Omar i have calculated the probability of obtaining an S Rank card at level one.

I have based this calculation on the probability of getting a N3 card to change into R3 with between 1 and 10 of that card, which then in turn becomes an S rank card again using the probability for a flucation having between 1 and 10 of this card already. i have ignored the chance of getting the R3 card again because i dont know the probability of getting the card without a fluctuation which would not be possible as you get new cards from fluctations.

All probabilitys are expressed as a factor of 1, with 1 being certain and 0 being actually impossible.

N3-->R3 x R3-->S
0.0106 x 0.55 x 0.1 x 0.0106 x 0.55 x 0.02=
=0.000 000 006 797 778.

Despite managing this maths i cant convert it into a fraction XD

[Serpent7]

It's a shame no one has already recognised this, but well done.

I'm not sure, but that would probably give you a fraction of around 1 over 1471069


] ]1 [ [
--------
1471069

P.S. the ['s are there because the forum won't let me put multiple whitespace :'(

[Omar]

Everything is possible but this is like a 1 in a billion thing.

After redoing your sum, I have found you to be a bit out.
I get the answer 0.000 000 067 977 78 (your answer times 10).

When it is converted into a fraction it becomes: 1/14 710 689 which is roughly 1/10million (a lot smaller than 1/billion as you suggested).

Thanks for taking the time to prove yourself wrong. If you wanna discuss this more then I suggest pming me as you really shouldn't make topics directed at a certain member.

*senses a lock...*

[Ivan]

Mastersword. You have proven yourself wrong already. I've locked the previous thread for a reason...making another one only shows you wish to have a go with me. And as far as I'm concerned, you're only disobeying the forum rules:

3 - Moderators Decision
As far as you are concerned the moderators are god, their decisions are final. They are here for your benefit, so please don't have a go at them.

Making more duplicate threads will only result in them being locked, and bringing you closer to a ban.

*Locked*